Hong Kong 3-1 Filipinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Nov 2024

Hong Kong
3-1
Filipinler
📅14/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Hong Kong vs Filipinler Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.81
No
63%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 38% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.3pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hong Kong v Filipinler — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Filipinler EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+29% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hong Kong 3-1 Filipinler — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong
3-1
AWAY Filipinler
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Hong Kong vs Filipinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong saw off Filipinler 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Hong Kong made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong had 45% of the ball to Filipinler's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Hong Kong vs Filipinler?

Hong Kong 3-1 Filipinler in the Friendlies on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong vs Filipinler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong 36%, draw 31%, Filipinler 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hong Kong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hong Kong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
14 Nov 2024
13:00 Portekiz U19 vs Polonya U19 Analysis →
13:30 Rheindorf Altach vs Wil 1900 Analysis →
15:00 Singapur vs Myanmar Analysis →
15:00 Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Kosova U21 Analysis →
15:00 Austria Lustenau vs FC Schaffhausen Analysis →
15:30 Tayland vs Lübnan Analysis →