Portekiz U19 4-0 Polonya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.75
2-3 Goals
34%
1.93
4-5 Goals
31%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
3.02/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.96
+52% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U19
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Polonya U19
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.82 xG 0.06
55% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
416 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2023 Polonya U19 Polonya U19 0-2 HT 0-1 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 U19
28.03.2017 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 3-1 HT 1-1 Polonya U19 Polonya U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U19
4-0
AWAY Polonya U19
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portekiz U19 vs Polonya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U19 ran out comfortable winners over Polonya U19 4-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Portekiz U19 had 54% of the ball to Polonya U19's 46%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portekiz U19 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Portekiz U19 and 0.50 for Polonya U19.

What was the final score of Portekiz U19 vs Polonya U19?

Portekiz U19 4-0 Polonya U19 in the Friendlies on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U19 vs Polonya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U19 57%, draw 20%, Polonya U19 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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