Asyut Petroleum 1-0 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.36/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
-2% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asyut Petroleum squeezed past Derot 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asyut Petroleum as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Derot?

Asyut Petroleum 1-0 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asyut Petroleum win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 47%, draw 29%, Derot 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asyut Petroleum), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asyut Petroleum) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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