Sporting Alexandria 1-0 El Mansura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 14 Nov 2024

📅14/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.7pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.6pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Alexandria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY El Mansura EU Bookmakers 25%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.50
-28% / -82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Alexandria
1-0
AWAY El Mansura
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Alexandria vs El Mansura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Alexandria edged past El Mansura 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Alexandria as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Alexandria had 62% of the ball to El Mansura's 38%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Sporting Alexandria vs El Mansura?

Sporting Alexandria 1-0 El Mansura in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 14/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Alexandria vs El Mansura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Alexandria win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sporting Alexandria 55%, draw 23%, El Mansura 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Alexandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Alexandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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