İtalya U20 1-2 Portekiz U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — U20 Elit League, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 34% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U20 EU Bookmakers 39%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.91/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.42
-58% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Portekiz U20
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
14.10.2024 Portekiz U20 Portekiz U20 1-1 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 U20EL
21.11.2023 İtalya U20 İtalya U20 2-1 HT 1-1 Portekiz U20 Portekiz U20 U20EL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya U20
1-2
AWAY Portekiz U20
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İtalya U20 vs Portekiz U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U20 squeezed past İtalya U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Portekiz U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İtalya U20 had 49% of the ball to Portekiz U20's 51%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İtalya U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İtalya U20 and 1.00 for Portekiz U20.

What was the final score of İtalya U20 vs Portekiz U20?

İtalya U20 1-2 Portekiz U20 in the U20 Elit League on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya U20 vs Portekiz U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İtalya U20 38%, draw 24%, Portekiz U20 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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