FK Pardubice 1-1 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
0.58/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.87
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
13.9 Crosses 23.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Pardubice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3-0 HT 2-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
16.12.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
19.08.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
29.01.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
14.08.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-1 HT 2-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
09.03.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 4-1 HT 3-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Pardubice
1-1
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.71 xG 3.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
303 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 28
27 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice and Slovan Liberec couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FK Pardubice had 58% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 42%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.71 to 3.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Liberec led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Pardubice and 1.67 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of FK Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec?

FK Pardubice 1-1 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Pardubice 30%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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