Bohemians 1905 3-3 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.32/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.5 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karvina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 2.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
215 Passes 316
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 1-2 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
16.05.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-3 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
20.04.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
11.11.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.05.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
3-3
AWAY Karvina
2.43 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 0
280 Passes 188
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
38 Box Touches 22
51 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 and Karvina shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians 1905 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 59% of the ball to Karvina's 41%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.43 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 1.00 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina?

Bohemians 1905 3-3 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 42%, draw 26%, Karvina 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bohemians 1905) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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