Karvina 1-2 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 31% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.0pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.61/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.81
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
186 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
27.6 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.14 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.05.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-3 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
20.04.2024 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
11.11.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-0 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
14.05.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 4-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
03.04.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.12.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-0 HT 2-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
1-2
AWAY Bohemians 1905
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
360 Passes 132
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 nicked a narrow win over Karvina 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bohemians 1905 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Karvina had 67% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 33%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Karvina and 1.83 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Bohemians 1905?

Karvina 1-2 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karvina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Karvina 36%, draw 30%, Bohemians 1905 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karvina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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