Hradec Kralove 1-0 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 22%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.02/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.51
+12% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dukla Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.05.2021 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 2-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
02.12.2020 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK2
23.11.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-2 HT 0-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK2
19.02.2017 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
14.08.2016 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 3-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
02.05.2015 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-0
AWAY Dukla Prag
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
242 Passes 253
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove edged past Dukla Prag 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hradec Kralove as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 49% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 51%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Prag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.50 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Dukla Prag?

Hradec Kralove 1-0 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 49%, draw 27%, Dukla Prag 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
17 Aug 2024
18:00 Karvina vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
18:00 Slavia Prag vs Teplice Analysis →
21:00 Jablonec vs Sparta Prag Analysis →