Basingstoke Town 2-1 Wimborne Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
49%
4-5
16%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wimborne Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.57/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.48
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Wimborne Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town edged past Wimborne Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Basingstoke Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Wimborne Town?

Basingstoke Town 2-1 Wimborne Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Wimborne Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 38%, draw 25%, Wimborne Town 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
14 Dec 2024
18:00 Macclesfield vs Stockton Town Analysis →
18:00 St Ives Town vs Harborough Town Analysis →
18:00 Redditch United vs Biggleswade Town Analysis →
18:00 Stamford vs Stratford Town Analysis →
18:00 Barwell vs Halesowen Town Analysis →
18:00 Kettering Town vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →