Gloucester City 3-1 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+13.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.99/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.50
-4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City saw off Chertsey Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gloucester City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town?

Gloucester City 3-1 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 50%, draw 19%, Chertsey Town 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gloucester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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