14/12/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-0
Hungerford Town vs Marlow Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
36%
4-5
31%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
26%
Draw
20%
17%
Away Win
18%
40%
Under 2.5
43%
60%
Over 2.5
57%
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
47%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hungerford Town v Marlow — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hungerford Town
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marlow
EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-33% /
-33%
1.16/1.27
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.61/3.43
-45%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-51%
/
-48%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
4
382 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Hungerford Town vs Marlow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hungerford Town cruised past Marlow 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hungerford Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Marlow?
Hungerford Town 4-0 Marlow in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Marlow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 57%, draw 26%, Marlow 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hungerford Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hungerford Town)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
14 Dec 2024