Tiverton Town 0-1 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.1
Over
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.25/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.49
+6% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +111%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Totton
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
06.04.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 5-0 HT 2-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
09.03.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton edged past Tiverton Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Totton led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tiverton Town and 3.50 for AFC Totton.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs AFC Totton?

Tiverton Town 0-1 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 26%, draw 26%, AFC Totton 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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