Yeclano 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.17
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeclano EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.67
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
456 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeclano
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Merida AD
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
08.03.2020 Yeclano Yeclano 2-2 HT 0-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
20.10.2019 Merida AD Merida AD 2-2 HT 1-2 Yeclano Yeclano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeclano
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeclano vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeclano and Merida AD couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yeclano at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Yeclano had 51% of the ball to Merida AD's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yeclano and 2.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Yeclano vs Merida AD?

Yeclano 1-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeclano vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeclano win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yeclano 51%, draw 25%, Merida AD 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeclano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeclano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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