CD Guadalajara 3-0 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.53/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.94
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
3-0
AWAY Mostoles
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara cruised past Mostoles 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 53% of the ball to Mostoles's 47%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Mostoles?

CD Guadalajara 3-0 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 55%, draw 28%, Mostoles 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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