Juventud Torremolinos 1-2 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud Torremolinos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.17/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.24
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud Torremolinos
1-2
AWAY UD San Fernando
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juventud Torremolinos vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD San Fernando squeezed past Juventud Torremolinos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; UD San Fernando found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventud Torremolinos had 61% of the ball to UD San Fernando's 39%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Juventud Torremolinos vs UD San Fernando?

Juventud Torremolinos 1-2 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud Torremolinos vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud Torremolinos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventud Torremolinos 40%, draw 29%, UD San Fernando 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventud Torremolinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
14 Dec 2024
14:00 RC Deportivo Fabril vs CD Laredo Analysis →
17:30 Rayo Cantabria vs Coruxo Analysis →
18:00 Eibar II vs SD Logrones Analysis →
18:30 Ejea vs Anguiano Analysis →
19:00 SS Reyes vs CD Coria Analysis →
19:30 CD Guadalajara vs Mostoles Analysis →