Europa 2-1 Elche II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.8
Over Pick
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche II The Market 29%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
3.09/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.33
+121% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
2-1
AWAY Elche II
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Europa vs Elche II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa nicked a narrow win over Elche II 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Europa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Europa had 49% of the ball to Elche II's 51%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Europa vs Elche II?

Europa 2-1 Elche II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Elche II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Europa 41%, draw 28%, Elche II 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Europa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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