Gernika vs Subiza Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gernika v Subiza — Team-Based Signals
Gernika 1-1 Subiza — Actual Match Statistics
Gernika and Subiza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Gernika at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Gernika had 48% of the ball to Subiza's 52%, shots finished 13-8.
What was the final score of Gernika vs Subiza?
Gernika 1-1 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gernika vs Subiza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gernika 53%, draw 23%, Subiza 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gernika), BTTS No went the other way.