Vaduz 3-2 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.65/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.02
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.0 Crosses 10.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
348 Passes 386
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-2
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.34 xG 0.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
254 Passes 441
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Etoile Carouge 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vaduz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vaduz had 40% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 60%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.34 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge?

Vaduz 3-2 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 37%, draw 26%, Etoile Carouge 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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