Etoile Carouge 1-0 Vaduz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 24 Sep 2024

Etoile Carouge
1-0 HT 1-0
Vaduz
📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Etoile Carouge vs Vaduz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 27% vs market 15.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etoile Carouge v Vaduz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vaduz EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
– Crosses 16.0
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Etoile Carouge 1-0 Vaduz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
1-0
AWAY Vaduz
0.59 xG 0.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Vaduz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over Vaduz 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 51% of the ball to Vaduz's 49%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.59 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Vaduz?

Etoile Carouge 1-0 Vaduz in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Vaduz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 50%, draw 24%, Vaduz 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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