Cagliari U20 1-1 Sampdoria U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria U20 EU Bookmakers 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.49
+42% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari U20
1-1
AWAY Sampdoria U20
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cagliari U20 vs Sampdoria U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 and Sampdoria U20 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cagliari U20 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cagliari U20 had 46% of the ball to Sampdoria U20's 54%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Cagliari U20 vs Sampdoria U20?

Cagliari U20 1-1 Sampdoria U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari U20 vs Sampdoria U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cagliari U20 51%, draw 22%, Sampdoria U20 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari U20) ✗ Over 2.5
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