Genoa U20 2-1 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.64/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.52
+2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
2-1
AWAY Lecce U20
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 squeezed past Lecce U20 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Genoa U20 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 59% of the ball to Lecce U20's 41%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20?

Genoa U20 2-1 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 42%, draw 26%, Lecce U20 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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