Atalanta II 5-2 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.53
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
5-2
AWAY Lecco
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II ran out comfortable winners over Lecco 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 61% of the ball to Lecco's 39%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Lecco?

Atalanta II 5-2 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 48%, draw 27%, Lecco 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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