Torre Neapolis 0-5 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.08/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
+13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
191 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Crotone
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-4 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.09.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-3 HT 0-2 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
25.02.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
23.10.2022 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 2-4 HT 1-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
0-5
AWAY Crotone
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone cruised past Torre Neapolis 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 50% of the ball to Crotone's 50%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Torre Neapolis and 2.50 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs Crotone?

Torre Neapolis 0-5 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 29%, draw 24%, Crotone 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
14 Dec 2024
17:00 Novara vs Triestina Analysis →
17:00 Atalanta II vs Lecco Analysis →
17:00 Legnago Salus vs Ascoli Analysis →
17:00 Casertana vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →
17:00 Sorrento Calcio vs Cavese Analysis →
17:00 Juventus II vs ACR Messina Analysis →