GIANA Erminio 0-2 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.18
2-3
37%
1.73
4-5
21%
5.05
6+
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.01/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.67
+26% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +99%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
0-2
AWAY Alcione
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione got the better of GIANA Erminio 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 57% of the ball to Alcione's 43%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Alcione?

GIANA Erminio 0-2 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 46%, draw 25%, Alcione 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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