Sestri Levante 1-3 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Dec 2024

Sestri Levante
1-3 HT 0-2
Athletic Carpi
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Sestri Levante vs Athletic Carpi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.43
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sestri Levante v Athletic Carpi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.76/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-35% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Sestri Levante 1-3 Athletic Carpi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
1-3
AWAY Athletic Carpi
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi got the better of Sestri Levante 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Athletic Carpi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 51% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 49%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Athletic Carpi?

Sestri Levante 1-3 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Carpi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 34%, draw 30%, Athletic Carpi 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Carpi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Carpi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
14 Dec 2024
17:00 Novara vs Triestina Analysis →
17:00 Atalanta II vs Lecco Analysis →
17:00 Legnago Salus vs Ascoli Analysis →
17:00 Casertana vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →
17:00 Sorrento Calcio vs Cavese Analysis →
17:00 Juventus II vs ACR Messina Analysis →