Deportivo (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
16.01
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
3%
+30.0pp
33%
Draw
12%
+21.1pp
33%
Away Win
84%
-51.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.04/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.43
-100% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
8.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
5.5 Crosses 21.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo (K)
1-4
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.82 xG 3.59
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
147 Passes 524
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 66
6 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) swept aside Deportivo (K) 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo (K) had 27% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 73%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.82 to 3.59.

What was the final score of Deportivo (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Deportivo (K) 1-4 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Deportivo (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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