Granada (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.20/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.97
+94% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
26.0 Crosses 15.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.60 xG 0.35
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
201 Passes 447
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Granada (K) Granada (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada (K)
1-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
0.79 xG 0.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
351 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada (K) squeezed past Madrid CFF (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Granada (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Granada (K) had 56% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 44%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.79 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Granada (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Granada (K) 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Granada (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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