Werder Bremen (K) 1-3 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
60%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.2pp
60%
Away Win
74%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.57/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.07
-100% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -40%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
184 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 86%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.1
13.0 Crosses 28.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.08 xG 2.30
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
141 Passes 439
59% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 38
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 3-3 HT 1-2 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
1-3
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
0.48 xG 3.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 466
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) saw off Werder Bremen (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 38% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 62%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.48 to 3.01.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 1-3 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 17%, draw 23%, Wolfsburg (K) 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K))
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