W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 5-1 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
35%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.7pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.0pp
35%
Away Win
55%
-19.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 82%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.2 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Western United (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 2.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
211 Passes 335
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
5-1
AWAY Western United (K)
2.52 xG 2.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
28 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
239 Passes 244
63% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) ran out comfortable winners over Western United (K) 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day W. Sydney Wanderers (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 52% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 48%, shots finished 28-16, expected goals 2.52 to 2.47.

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Western United (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 5-1 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 33%, draw 32%, Western United (K) 35%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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