Sydney (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 14 Dec 2024

Sydney (K)
1-2 HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.0pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.32/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.42
-26% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
11.6 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
3.28 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
305 Passes 228
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
15.12.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
04.01.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
03.01.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.75 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
267 Passes 209
66% Pass Accuracy 61%
33 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) squeezed past Sydney (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 54% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 46%, shots finished 26-9, expected goals 2.75 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sydney (K).

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.20 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 50%, draw 23%, Newcastle Jets (K) 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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