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Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sydney (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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0-2
HT 0-1
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Sydney (K)
AVUSTW
3-1
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
3-2
HT 2-0
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
2-2
HT 2-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
Sydney (K) 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Sydney (K) edged past Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sydney (K) had 50% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 50%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.17 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sydney (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.25 for Newcastle Jets (K).
What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?
Sydney (K) 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 49%, draw 32%, Newcastle Jets (K) 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.