Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-34% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-2
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.12 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
191 Passes 226
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) nicked a narrow win over Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 38% — and on the day W. Sydney Wanderers (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 48% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 52%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.12 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 40%, draw 22%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
21 Jan 2024
09:00 Western United (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Analysis →
10:00 Sydney (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Analysis →