Shamakhi 0-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.85
No
61%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.1pp
61%
BTTS No
50%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
0.73/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.27
-44% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sebail FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
20.12.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 6-0 HT 2-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
26.01.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
23.10.2022 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.08.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.05.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi and Sebail FK played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Shamakhi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shamakhi and 1.67 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Sebail FK?

Shamakhi 0-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 41%, draw 27%, Sebail FK 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shamakhi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
14 Dec 2024
15:30 Araz Nahçıvan vs Sabah Analysis →