14/12/2024
·
15:40
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Al Thaid vs Al Thaid Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
22%
Draw
27%
37%
Away Win
40%
47%
Under 2.5
48%
53%
Over 2.5
52%
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
47%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Thaid v Al Thaid — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Thaid
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Thaid
EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
1.36/1.84
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.12/1.39
+3%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-26%
/
-19%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
323 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
342 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Al Thaid vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Thaid and Al Thaid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Al Thaid?
Al Thaid 1-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Al Thaid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 41%, draw 22%, Al Thaid 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Thaid), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Thaid)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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14 Dec 2024