Dubai United 5-3 Al Fujairah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-16.4pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubai United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 40%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.79/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.71
+37% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +93%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubai United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Fujairah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 2-1 Dubai United BAE2
17.09.2023 Dubai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubai United
5-3
AWAY Al Fujairah
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dubai United vs Al Fujairah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubai United got the better of Al Fujairah 5-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dubai United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dubai United had 57% of the ball to Al Fujairah's 43%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Fujairah led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dubai United and 1.00 for Al Fujairah.

What was the final score of Dubai United vs Al Fujairah?

Dubai United 5-3 Al Fujairah in the UAE - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubai United vs Al Fujairah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dubai United 36%, draw 26%, Al Fujairah 38%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fujairah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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