Levski Sofia 1-0 Dunav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-20.2pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.1pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunav EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dunav
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.11.2023 Dunav 1-3 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-0
AWAY Dunav
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Dunav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past Dunav 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 63% of the ball to Dunav's 37%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Dunav?

Levski Sofia 1-0 Dunav in the Bulgaria - Cup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Dunav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 59%, draw 21%, Dunav 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BULK More Bulgaria - Cup
14 Dec 2024
14:00 Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia Analysis →