Cherno More Varna 1-0 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-15.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.10.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
09.12.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
12.08.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-5 HT 1-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
1-0
AWAY Slavia Sofia
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna nicked a narrow win over Slavia Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 50% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 50%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.67 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 1-0 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - Cup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 45%, draw 28%, Slavia Sofia 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BULK More Bulgaria - Cup
14 Dec 2024
17:00 Levski Sofia vs Dunav Analysis →