Montpellier (K) 0-1 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.0pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+85% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.38 xG 3.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
211 Passes 264
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 45
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 2-3 HT 0-2 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
0-1
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
0.42 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 217
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleury 91 (K) nicked a narrow win over Montpellier (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 56% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.42 to 1.22.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Montpellier (K) 0-1 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 43%, draw 27%, Fleury 91 (K) 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Montpellier (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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