Paris FC (K) 4-0 Dijon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
26%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
76%
-21.0pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
10%
+16.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.96/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.68
-12% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
451 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
18.3 Crosses 11.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dijon (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.24 xG 0.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
437 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
22.10.2023 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
4-0
AWAY Dijon (K)
1.89 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
454 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs Dijon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) cruised past Dijon (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 59% of the ball to Dijon (K)'s 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.89 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Paris FC (K) and 0.50 for Dijon (K).

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Paris FC (K) 4-0 Dijon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 55%, draw 19%, Dijon (K) 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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