Golden Arrows 0-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.22
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -28%
1.06/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.03
-4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.2 Crosses 23.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
355 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
08.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
06.08.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
0-1
AWAY Richards Bay
0.96 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
348 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay squeezed past Golden Arrows 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Richards Bay found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 56% of the ball to Richards Bay's 44%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.96 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Golden Arrows and 1.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?

Golden Arrows 0-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 34%, draw 33%, Richards Bay 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Golden Arrows) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
14 Dec 2024
18:45 Chippa United vs Cape Town City Analysis →
21:30 SuperSport United vs Magesi Analysis →