Golden Arrows 2-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.39
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.93/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.18
-22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -72%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.8 Crosses 43.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
06.08.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-2 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
2-1
AWAY Richards Bay
1.08 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
387 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows nicked a narrow win over Richards Bay 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Golden Arrows found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 53% of the ball to Richards Bay's 47%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.08 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Golden Arrows and 1.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?

Golden Arrows 2-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Golden Arrows win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 37%, draw 28%, Richards Bay 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Golden Arrows) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Golden Arrows) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
30 Mar 2024
16:30 Stellenbosch FC vs Royal AM Analysis →
16:30 Polokwane City vs Chippa United Analysis →
16:30 Cape Town City vs Kaizer Chiefs Analysis →
18:30 TS Galaxy vs AmaZulu Analysis →
18:45 Sekhukhune United vs Orlando Pirates Analysis →