Polokwane City 1-0 Chippa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippa United EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.89/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.54
-15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
14.6 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippa United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.98 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
259 Passes 403
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 1-2 HT 0-2 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
14.02.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-1 HT 1-1 Chippa United Chippa United GAF8K
04.01.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 2-0 HT 0-0 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-0
AWAY Chippa United
0.56 xG 0.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 0
104 Passes 133
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
5 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Chippa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City nicked a narrow win over Chippa United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polokwane City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polokwane City had 45% of the ball to Chippa United's 55%, shots finished 5-3, expected goals 0.56 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polokwane City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Polokwane City and 0.67 for Chippa United.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Chippa United?

Polokwane City 1-0 Chippa United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Chippa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 43%, draw 30%, Chippa United 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polokwane City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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