Penrhyncoch 1-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 14 Dec 2024

Penrhyncoch
1-1 HT 1-0
Guilsfield
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.46
No
33%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
67%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.2pp
33%
BTTS No
36%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penrhyncoch v Guilsfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.21/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.55
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Guilsfield
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-3 HT 0-3 Guilsfield GALLK
18.01.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-2 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
19.11.2022 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
05.03.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 3-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch and Guilsfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.25 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield?

Penrhyncoch 1-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 38%, draw 27%, Guilsfield 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penrhyncoch), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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