Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 14 Dec 2024

Caerau (Ely)
1-0 HT 0-0
Bala Town
📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2024/2025

Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.71
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
39%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.21
Over 2.5
41%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
18%
+16.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
39%
Away Win
61%
-22.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
41%
+17.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
59%
-17.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 66%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / –
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
150 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bala Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 1-4 HT 0-4 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) nicked a narrow win over Bala Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Caerau (Ely) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town?

Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 34%, draw 27%, Bala Town 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bala Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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