Caernarfon Town 3-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.78/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.37
+27% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barry Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
19.11.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
30.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
26.02.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
30.10.2021 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
22.05.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town edged past Barry Town 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Caernarfon Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.33 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?

Caernarfon Town 3-2 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 36%, draw 26%, Barry Town 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barry Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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