Tekstilac Odzaci 1-0 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
35%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 33%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
0.44/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.29
-78% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.0 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
189 Passes 410
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Tekstilac Odzaci SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci
1-0
AWAY Mladost Lucani
2.17 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tekstilac Odzaci vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tekstilac Odzaci edged past Mladost Lucani 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tekstilac Odzaci found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tekstilac Odzaci had 54% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 46%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.17 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tekstilac Odzaci's control.

What was the final score of Tekstilac Odzaci vs Mladost Lucani?

Tekstilac Odzaci 1-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tekstilac Odzaci vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tekstilac Odzaci win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tekstilac Odzaci 39%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tekstilac Odzaci), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tekstilac Odzaci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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