Mladost Lucani 1-2 Tekstilac Odzaci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.9pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.00
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.1 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-2
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci
0.99 xG 1.18
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
410 Passes 189
79% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Tekstilac Odzaci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tekstilac Odzaci nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mladost Lucani at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 63% of the ball to Tekstilac Odzaci's 37%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.99 to 1.18.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Mladost Lucani 1-2 Tekstilac Odzaci in the Serbia - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 56%, draw 22%, Tekstilac Odzaci 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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