Spartak Subotica 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.02/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.28
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.2 Crosses 23.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.18 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
231 Passes 302
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
06.11.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
01.04.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-2 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
02.10.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 1-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
14.05.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
21.11.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-0
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.95 xG 1.20
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
151 Passes 437
62% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica edged past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Spartak Subotica found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 32% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 68%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.95 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spartak Subotica and 2.00 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Spartak Subotica 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 34%, draw 30%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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