İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
40%
3.04
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
33%
-7.0pp
40%
Draw
29%
+10.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.43
-14% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
2W-0D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 0-3 HT 0-3 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
12.11.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 3-4 HT 1-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
09.04.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 0-2 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. T2L-K
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor A.Ş. and GMG Kastamonuspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 40% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 2.00 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 26%, draw 40%, GMG Kastamonuspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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